OPB

Oregon economists predict economic slowdown, kicker rebate in 2020

State economists delivered mixed news for Oregonians on Wednesday morning, confirming that taxpayers are likely to receive a “kicker” tax rebate in two years while warning it could coincide with a recession. 

“These are always really the things that are so difficult for economic forecasters to get ahold of, when times are changing,” state economist Mark McMullen said during a presentation to lawmakers at the Capitol. 

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Kicker Coming? Oregon Tax Revenues Might Exceed Estimates

Oregon’s surging tax collections show no signs of abating — and that means you’re probably going to get some money back. Again.

The state’s latest revenue forecast, released Wednesday, shows personal income tax revenues for the 2017-19 fiscal biennium stand to come in $555 million above initial forecasts. That’s more than enough to trigger Oregon’s unique “kicker” provision, which doles money back to taxpayers when taxes come in at more than 2 percent above estimates.

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